Weather
Grand Lake area (Commerce, OK) — 12-hour hourly forecast · DTN
Current Conditions
Temperature
87°F
Feels 88°F
Wind
S 12 mph
Gusts to 21 mph
Humidity
45%
Precip (1h)
0.00"
82% chance
Precip Prob
82%
12-Hour Forecast
Temperature, feels-like, precipitation, and precip probability
Hazardous Weather Outlook
NWS Tulsa (TSA) · Issued Sep 29, 6:21 PM UTC
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Mainly Osage and Pawnee Counties. ONSET...After 3PM. FIRE WEATHER DANGER. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing. DISCUSSION... Isolated thunderstorms may develop later this afternoon across parts of northeast Oklahoma, mainly in parts of Osage and Pawnee counties. No severe weather is expected. Above normal temperatures and breezy southerly winds, combined with ongoing drought conditions will pose a limited fire weather threat through the afternoon across much of the area. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. SUNDAY AND MONDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... A strong storm system coupled with a plume of tropical moisture will result in widespread rains and isolated to scattered thunderstorms late Wednesday through Friday. Locally heavy rainfall is likely, although placement of the heaviest rains remains somewhat uncertain. Parts of southeast Oklahoma are more favored for the higher rain totals currently. A window of severe weather potential may develop, especially Thursday afternoon and evening across parts of southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas. The heaviest rains will taper off by Friday, but a few showers and storms may linger into the weekend. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
Upstream Stage Forecast
Key inflow gauges — Neosho, Spring & Elk Rivers · Forecast issued Sep 29, 1:26 PM UTC
Elk River at Tiff City
Elk River
186 cfs (fcst)
✓ Within banks
through Sun, Oct 4