GRDAStormOps
Heat AdvisoryHeat Advisory issued August 5 at 3:22AM CDT until August 5 at 8:00PM CDT by NWS Tulsa OK until Aug 5, 8:30 PM UTCDetails →

Weather

Grand Lake area (Commerce, OK) — 12-hour hourly forecast · DTN

3:24 PM

Current Conditions

Temperature

86°F

Feels 89°F

Wind

SSW 10 mph

Gusts to 17 mph

Humidity

57%

Precip (1h)

0.00"

Precip Prob

0%

12-Hour Forecast

Temperature, feels-like, precipitation, and precip probability

Hazardous Weather Outlook

NWS Tulsa (TSA) · Issued Aug 5, 10:11 AM UTC

⚠ Hazards Active
Day 1Today and TonightHazardous

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. RISK...Limited. AREA...Northeast Oklahoma. ONSET...Ongoing...and This Afternoon. DANGEROUS HEAT. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas. ONSET...Afternoon. DISCUSSION... Scattered showers with an isolated rumble of thunder will be possible this morning mainly along and north of Highway 412 in northeast Oklahoma. Any impacts should be minimal and severe weather is not expected. Additional showers and isolated storms will be possible this afternoon in the same vicinity. Some gusty winds could occur with any thunderstorms this afternoon. Hot conditions will persist today across the region as temperatures climb into the triple digits for some locations. Heat index values ranging from 103 to 108 degrees will be possible across much of eastern Oklahoma and into portions of west central Arkansas. Continues to take heat related precautions while spending time outdoors. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected.

Days 2–7Thursday through TuesdayHazardous

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential. SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... The main weather story over the next week will be continuous hot conditions, with heat products likely for at least part of the forecast area at times. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to occur off and on through Saturday morning, especially near and north of Interstate 40. The highest precipitation chances will come late Thursday into Friday. These storms will produce brief heavy rain and gusty winds but overall impacts will be minimal. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Source: NWS Tulsa · Updated every 30 minView full product ↗

Upstream Stage Forecast

Key inflow gauges — Neosho, Spring & Elk Rivers · Forecast issued Aug 4, 1:09 PM UTC

✓ No Active Flooding

Neosho at Parsons

Middle Neosho

8.0 ftNormal

702 cfs

✓ Within banks

View gauge ↗

Neosho at Commerce

Lower Neosho

3.0 ftNormal

702 cfs

✓ Within banks

through Mon, Aug 10

View gauge ↗

Elk River at Tiff City

Elk River

3.2 ft (fcst)Normal (FCST)

282 cfs (fcst)

✓ Within banks

through Mon, Aug 10

View gauge ↗

Spring River at Quapaw

Spring River

5.7 ftNormal

383 cfs

✓ Within banks

through Mon, Aug 10

View gauge ↗
Source: NOAA NWPS · Updated every 30 minNOAA Water Prediction ↗